Analysts say that having “noise” in the norm l Suez operation, economical way for trade between Europe and Asia, oil prices would skyrocket to $ 200. The unruly social circumstances of both countries to Africa (Tunisia and Egypt, the latter based on the channel) “excited” calculations to some projections, and the truth is that since the oil barrel reached $ 100.
When Iraq on the eve of the fall of Hussein and the invasion of their country, much is speculated that the man would blow the oil wells to the invader, should succeed in their objectives, could not enjoy its benefits … , although it also signed the statement they can not be used for their own enjoyment. As you recall, oil prices skyrocketed, already lifted by the war situation.
And when the chapter of the war in Georgia, through whom U.S. and European powers tried to take the BTC (Baku-Ceylan-Tbilise), plus the region’s geostrategic Black Sea-Caucasus-Caspian Sea, the story was not different. Increased oil. 1.4 million barrels of oil through the pipeline were threatened in transit to Europe. ¹
Not to mention Iran, Persian Gulf. The stormy specter of war on oil-rich country is a circumstance that inflates the figures gesture with each oil price. Nightmare is for oil-consuming countries (Europe!) The Iranian government’s threat to block the Strait of Hormuz (a corridor of 100 km wide along the coast of Iran), where 40% of the circulating oil sold in the world, namely, about 15 million barrels a day.
Now it’s Egypt and the Suez Canal, that is, the connection path between eastern Europe and the coveted Gulf oil from Iran, via the Mediterranean Sea, Red Sea, that is, the transit route for 26% of petroleum global import. As if the blood of the world in the case, the oil defines the importance of the arteries of movement and marked as surgical operations and areas of conflict (wars) points that threaten its physiology as the body of the world economy, both in its distribution and generation. Seas and rivers are the arteries of the world not just water, but oil plasma, and countries and regions are happy to hydrocarbon deposits, the generative bone marrow of the world economy. Any condition nodular critical points affects the overall system, triggering alarms in the global unrest, creating panic, dreams or nightmares of war, unleashing malicious speculation and increasing prices.
As far as Venezuela is concerned, first world oil reserves, ² seemingly oblivious to combat scenarios involving The World at War destabilization or leathery properties of the vital fluid (which I said, worth more than water), the impression could not be more fraudulently. It is true, to clarify the mention of Egypt in the article as black oil, no one will say that their turbulent environment due to reasons mainly oil, but has significant deposits, as well as gas. Having convulsions of social and economic development, the known consequences of exclusion and impoverishment generated by the capitalist model system. But what weighs in the balance of the considerations of the European countries and oil consuming the imagination of that country loses stability, not by their status or country allied with certain hydrocarbon reserves ─ ─ negligible as its important transport channel! It hurts in the lower abdomen that black gold more expensive for reasons as strictly non-oil, as social unrest, famine, political transitions, etc!
Egypt would happen in the train of oblivion with these seizures were not for such coatings: some hydrocarbons in the coffers and particularly sensitive to the geostrategic importance of the channel. Ergo, it is inferred that the concerns talkative woven within their political complexion of Machiavellian have a friendship, love interest, affection and digásmolo ─ ─ hidrocarburante, that the wind that leaves no stones occur on the board of world energy. But in the end calculation, flaws, which is only interested to work mechanically Suez Canal without concern for the inner, for the affections, the feelings, the political health of the nation, as corresponds to the love interests, which tend to separate the head and heart to make pocket.
It is the discovery of warm water or icy, but simple truth: nothing that has occurred or may occur in the African country can ignore the spreadsheet that included the powerful “friendly” countries, auditors or omitted for convenience. Love simplistic allies, who cares that the oil and the channel has been up every detail social and political development for decades, but omitting it, turning a blind eye, tolerating human rights fracture citizens and supporting a regime of eternal social injustice, as if it were something far without the power to affect their interests. And now that the social and political bubble bursts, they remain on the details (all details!), Making long sight yet, practicing omissions, ignoring popular demands, but always supporting the tottering regime, concerned just for the functionality geostrategic ally Mubarak, the world’s oil and its circulation channel.
Also one can speak of Venezuela. She is there, seemingly at peace, as has not raised a rifle to defend their sovereignty, or wealth, as stated in the Caucasus, Iraq, Iran, etc.. Every other little problem has plagued social character, sure insecurity (and forgive the rhyme), probably the lack of housing in many of his compatriots, living a sort of utopian revolution, humanist (his detractors say so) that raises welts everywhere with great certainty opposition destabilized by a factory dismantled the traditional political power that foreign aid … Common problems of the commonly called third world or developing countries.
As in Egypt, no one will say that their little problems as a node with hydrocarbons, gas, oil reserves, its market, its price, beyond which he is accused of not diversifying its economy and suffer the consequent social and economic fluctuation the price of the item on the global black. But it’s there, rotten oil, and it is apparent and hypocritical that it does not matter one wonder oil. I must say. Like Iraq and Egypt in war for oil or conventional means of social crisis of Third World countries themselves but avoid oil its economic importance, respectively, Venezuela is a country absolutely monitored on the map of world war by the oil and geostrategic position of the military powers, especially those which have no oil (or not enough with which they have) and look forward to death.
So that no country can ever be said in, accidentally or innocently, he would “happen” things, little things, problems, glitches, and that is said to be economically or politically unstable because groups or organizations complain daily of property restrictions Private or freedom, that is terrorist, guerrilla and drug trafficker, nicknamed beyond communist or left-imperial plot relic who swallowed time. As in Egypt mentioned details like obliterate (as indeed it did) because it is an ally of the Western powers in Venezuela are encouraged, more so if the country proclaimed its independence economic, social and political life of the asset colonialist . To show the lock: after racks, the U.S. supported the 2002 coup in Venezuela, the bustle in the Plaza Altamira, the oil strike, all seeming acts of destabilization typical of a Third World country, nothing serious, just a country with social problems . The other side of the coin is the anxiety of its deposits of oil, geo-strategy would provide the submission of Venezuela and the discomfort of “communism outdated” (as they say) of Hugo Chavez.
In fact, by the way, the oil strike inflated prices of oil at the time, my theme and which ended up. I could say the people on the street, derogatory, or thankfully, depending on your political leanings: “That Chavez if lucky, always saves the increase in oil prices”, realizing that the country’s economy is sustained by oil and health merchandise. They say that coming to power prices rose, but did not mention that the old East traveled to position and strengthen the product, we can say that when it needs extra money, prices rise, strengthening its mandate, and will not stop say that, now that there is internal contingency affected by the rains, he drops pearls of price increases due to events in Egypt. Like say for schadenfreude own joy, coy about celebrating the other, pulling by the hair with alleged outrage.
However, such moral scruples is a topic for another time and space. What concerns the present discussion is the next rivet, of immediate survival: Venezuela’s fate was sealed as oil country (accept it or not, idealistic intellectuals), a resource that will soon disappear from the bowels of the earth. It is a matter of survival or death, or redialing erase national distinctions beyond politics. To combat such “placement” as a country colonial fountain, attempting to diversify the livelihoods exploiting another source of national wealth, try to evade such a fate sprawling imperial will always be a matter of war and revolution (Lenin said that every revolution is war). What is even trying to protect, save, or self-manage the resource, in case you decide not to depend Venezuela hereinafter hydrocarbons (ipso facto if this is possible), that is, sell them. Breaking affiliations or units will always be an act of revolution. This would be a declaration of war to dependents, and will soon try to force you to sell or a defensive war against invasion.
To the extent that complicate the picture of hydrocarbons in the world, or in the circulation, distribution, sites, prices so that the desire of the imperial powers, industrial and military defeat, to that extent the fate of misfortune will turn his face toward us and began to blow like a gentle scenic tropical beaches of supply. We must prepare.
